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    Projection data of annual number of extreme rainfall days for Hong Kong

    climate change

    Projection data of annual number of extreme rainfall days for Hong Kong


    Projected 20-year average of annual number of extreme rainfall days (daily rainfall ≥ 100 mm) in Hong Kong under different greenhouse gas emissions scenarios. Average annual number of extreme rainfall days in Hong Kong during 1995-2014 is 4.3.

    Low
    SSP1-2.6
    Intermediate
    SSP2-4.5
    High
    SSP3-7.0
    Very high
    SSP5-8.5
    Mean Likely range Mean Likely range Mean Likely range Mean Likely range
    2021-2040 4.7 4.0 – 5.8 4.7 4.0 – 5.5 4.5 3.8 – 5.2 4.7 3.7 – 5.9
    2031-2050 4.9 3.8 – 6.4 4.7 3.7 – 5.8 4.6 3.7 – 5.4 4.7 3.9 – 5.8
    2041-2060 5.0 3.9 – 6.4 4.9 3.8 – 5.9 4.7 4.0 – 5.8 5.0 4.0 – 6.1
    2051-2070 4.9 3.9 – 6.1 4.9 3.9 – 6.0 4.9 3.6 – 6.1 5.3 3.8 – 6.7
    2061-2080 5.0 4.2 – 6.0 4.9 4.1 – 6.1 4.9 4.0 – 6.1 5.4 4.1 – 6.7
    2071-2090 5.0 3.7 – 6.1 5.3 4.2 – 6.6 5.0 3.8 – 6.5 5.6 4.3 – 6.9
    2081-2100 5.0 4.1 – 5.8 5.3 4.0 – 6.6 5.5 4.1 – 7.3 6.0 4.3 – 8.6

    The probability for the likely range to cover the outcome is at least 66%. Data source: This link will open in a new windowWCRP CMIP6

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